Extended wetting events and accumulated wetting hours predict the development of sooty blotch and flyspeck

At Winchester last week a secondary apple scab and cedar-apple rust infection period occurred May 28: 7 hr of combined wetting at 69° with 0.09 in. rain. Most of the other commercial fruit production areas of Virginia experienced similar conditions, with relatively warm extended wetting during the period from May 27 to 29. Expect extended wetting events with warmer temperatures to increase the potential for early latent rot infection of fruit. At Winchester,  cedar-apple rust galls remain active. Apple powdery mildew infection occurs on days without rainfall above 53°, and in the Winchester area we have had 29 days favorable for infection since spores were available on Mar 29.

To predict the development of the sooty blotch and flyspeck (SBFS) fungal complex, we record accumulated wetting hours (ACW) from rainfall or dew, starting 10 days after petal fall. The action threshold for SBFS development is 250 ACW. Here is a listing of selected petal fall date and total wetting hour accumulation (ACW) for selected locations: Winchester, May 5, 73 ACW; Staunton, May 5, 167 ACW; Roanoke, Apr 18, 194 ACW; Floyd, Apr 28, 174 ACW; Manassas, Apr 28, 131 ACW; Sperryville, Apr 28, 114 ACW; Batesville, Apr 18, 186 ACW; Crozet, Apr 18, 162 ACW; Carter Mountain, Apr 18 329 ACW; Red Hill, Apr 18, 175 ACW; Lynchburg, Apr 13, 226 ACW; Rustburg, Apr 13, 235 ACW; Danville, Apr 13, 288 ACW. 

The action threshold of 250 ACW signals that the SBFS fungi would be present on unprotected fruit when the threshold is reached and symptoms would appear with further incubation. Carter Mountain and Danville have already passed the threshold, and Lynchburg and Rustburg may reach the threshold within the coming week . ACW is related to wetting from rainfall or dew, and typically, lower elevations in an orchard accumulate wetting hours more quickly because of wetting from dew. So far this year, that was not the case with the higher elevation of Carter Mountain accumulating wetting hours more rapidly from extended wetting from rainfall and fog in the past two weeks.