FIRE BLIGHT: Below is a cropped graphic from the Maryblyt 7 program. Based on predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows that fire blight infection risk on Apr 24 is high with wetting but infection is not predicted, even with recent wetting, because the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) is now below 100. With most cultivars approaching full bloom open and later bloom opening over the next several days, this is a prediction for trees with first bloom open April 16, 2013. The temperature and rainfall data are current through Wednesday afternoon, Apr 24, with showers predicted this evening. Predicted weather conditions are shown for April 25-29. The components of fire blight risk are indicated in the columns labeled B (blossoms open), H (degree hours for epiphytic bacterial populations), W (wetting by rain or dew), and T (average daily temperature 60 F or above). Based on predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows that fire blight infection risk on Apr 24 is high with wetting but infection is not predicted, even with wetting, because the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) is now well below 100. For infection to be predicted, wetting must occur after the EIP reaches 100 or higher. In high-risk situations, a protective streptomycin application is recommended ahead of predicted infection. Cooler predicted temperatures lead to a reduced risk Apr 25-29 and into next week (not shown). The CBS column at the right in the graphic indicates progression toward the appearance of canker blight symptoms on new growth, due to extension of overwintering cankers from last year, 80% of the degree hour requirement by Apr 29. Canker advancement cannot be prevented by chemical treatment at this time and the presence of symptoms will indicate a build-up of inoculum which could become a factor in the event of a trauma blight situation due to hail injury, etc.
CAUTION: Be aware that predicted risk can change quickly with unanticipated warmer temperatures and wetting. This graphic will be updated April 26. The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic come from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.
Powdery mildew remains the most active among other apple diseases. Mildew infects during dry weather at temperatures above 53F. Since overwintering mildew spores were first observed on Apr 11, there have been nine day favorable to mildew infection. Rusty spot on peach is caused by the apple powdery mildew fungus, and with this much mildew activity underway, expect increased pressure by rusty spot on susceptible peach cultivars. Protective applications of myclobutanil (Rally) from petal fall through the early cover sprays are suggested for management of rusty spot.
