Accumulated wetting hours for the sooty blotch/flyspeck threshold

For purposes of predicting the development of the sooty blotch and flyspeck (SBFS) fungal complex, we record accumulated wetting hours, starting 10 days after petal fall. This year we have settled on May 3 as our petal fall start date, so the start of wetting hour accumulation is from May 13, 25 days later than last year. As of Monday morning, May 27, we had accumulated 58 wetting hours toward the 250 wetting hour threshold for specific treatment against the SBFS fungal complex. A caution to those further south and east of the Blue Ridge: Your petal fall date may have been a week or more ahead of ours and the earlier date would include the wet week of May 5, adding 80-100 more accumulated wetting hours to this total. Last year we reached the 250-hr threshold at our AREC May 25.

Scab and rust infection period May 23-24

We recorded another apple scab and cedar-apple rust infection period at our AREC May 23-24: 14 hours wetting with 0.8 inches of rain at 56-64°.

Recent infection periods

Cedar-apple rust galls are still actively supplying inoculum for foliar infection, but most fruits should now be resistant to quince rust. Apple scab and cedar-apple rust infection periods were recorded at our AREC May 18-19 (16 hours wetting with only 0.01 inches of drizzle at 56-64°), May 19-20 (10 hours wetting with 0.09 inches of rain at 63-67°), and last night, May 22-23 (18 hours wetting with 0.94 inches of rain at 62-70°). Secondary "sheet" scab is now common on trees that were not protected two weeks ago, May 6-11. 

As of today, May 23, we have had 29 dry weather apple powdery mildew days since spores were first released Apr 11.

For purposes of predicting the development of the sooty blotch and flyspeck (SBFS) fungal complex, we record accumulated wetting hours, starting 10 days after petal fall. With the extended bloom period this year, the petal fall date was somewhat subjective, but we have settled on May 3 as our petal fall start date. So the start of wetting hour accumulation will be from May 13, 25 days later than last year. As of Monday morning, May 20, we had accumulated 26 wetting hours toward the 250 wetting hour threshold for specific treatment against the SBFS fungal complex. Last year we reached the 250-hr threshold May 25.

Fire blight alert-Take care of newly planted trees

Fire blight: With continued warm temperatures through next week, fire blight is predicted to remain at an infective EIP level through at least May 26. Any cultivar with bloom still open is susceptible, but, practically, late bloom is still a concern mostly on Rome Beauty apples.

Also, during this time, remember to take care of newly planted trees with flowers. The Zestar/ M9 tree, shown below, will have blossoms opening throughout the coming week.

Fire blight threat to late bloom wherever wetting occurs

With predicted warmer temperatures today, fire blight will be at an infective level wherever wetting occurs on susceptible blossoms, and is predicted to remain so through at least May 23. Wetting can be caused by rainfall, heavy dew, or by an airblast or dilute application of thinning, fungicide or insecticide sprays.

The Maryblyt graphic below shows 9-day predicted temperatures and wetting, and the risk column shows the fire blight infection risk history May 5-14 and predicted risk through May 23. Today, May 15, the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) reaches 117 (117% of the required) and remains higher than 100 through May 23. Also, the average daily temperatures remain higher than 60°F, the required minimum for infection to occur, throughout this period. So all that is required for susceptible bloom and wetting as indicated above.

The BBS column is tracking predicted appearance of blossom blight symptoms from infection May 10 to predicted symptoms (113a) May 21. The CBS column at the right in the graphic indicates progression toward the appearance of canker blight symptoms on new growth, due to extension of overwintering cankers from last year, with canker margin symptoms (CMS) by May 15 and canker blight symptoms May 23. Canker advancement will not be prevented by a chemical treatment, and the presence of symptoms will indicate a build-up of inoculum which could become a factor in the event of a trauma blight situation due to hail injury, etc.

CAUTION: Always beware that risks can change quickly with unpredicted warmer temperatures and wetting. In high-risk situations, a protective streptomycin application is recommended ahead of predicted infection conditions, or with applications that cause wetting when all other infection conditions have been met. The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic come from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by yesterday's site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.

Apple scab and rust infection period May 10-11

For the record, an apple scab and rust infection period was recorded at our AREC May 10-11: 18 hours wetting with 0.73 inches of rain at 60-64°

With predicted temperatures this week, fire blight risk is low to moderate May 13-15, then quickly returns to an infective level for late bloom May 16-17. For practical purposes, that will affect mostly the York Imperial and Rome Beauty cultivars, but check blocks carefully because Golden Delicious, Idareds, and others still have scattered pockets of susceptible bloom.  

Appearance of apple scab, cedar rust and fire blight symptoms

On May 10 apple scab and cedar-apple rust lesions from the Apr 17 infection period were readily apparent on unprotected trees at our AREC. The scab lesions were advanced enough that they were probably sporulating early this week, so that would indicate a secondary infection period during the extended wetting May 6-8 where control had been inadequate to prevent infection Apr 17. Secondary powdery mildew infection is also common on unprotected new shoot leaves.

Also, fire blight blossom cluster symptoms were easy to see from our experimental inoculations Apr 18, Apr 19, and Apr 23, but not yet from May 1.

Disease update May 9; threat of fire blight through the weekend

This week we have had a lot of disease activity, a heavy scab and quince rust and cedar-apple rust infection period at 46-57°, with 2.2 inches of rain from 10 AM May 6 to 8 AM May 8, and another scab infection period of 16 hours at 47-52° with 0.06 inches of rain last night. Scab lesions were present where trees were not adequately protected during the Apr 17 infection period. Most protective fungicides would have been depleted by the nearly 2 inches of rainfall associated with extended wetting May 7, leaving susceptible fruit and foliage vulnerable to infection by scab and the rusts, and also to powdery mildew. Since apple powdery mildew spores were first released Apr 11 we have had 20 days favorable for infection.

Fire blight symptoms were observed May 8 on Red Delicious blossom clusters in central Virginia. The fire blight outlook for the Winchester area for the next several days remains similar to what had predicted for these days since late last week. The Maryblyt graphic below shows that infection is possible with wetting May 8-10. Many cultivars still have susceptible bloom in the Winchester area and the moisture from an airblast application meets the wetting requirement to cause infection if all other other infection criteria have been met. The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic come from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.

Heavy scab and rust infection period in progress May 7

Since yesterday morning at 10 AM we have had 24 hr wetting at 54-56°, almost optimum for apple scab, quince rust and cedar-apple rust. Blossoms at petal fall are still very susceptible to quince rust infection so a follow-up including an SI fungicide in the next application is highly recommended (a "no-brainer"). Regarding potential rust inoculum source, winds during the wetting since yesterday have been from the north and east and appear to continue this way through today and tonight, then shift to a more southerly direction with continued shower activity tomorrow.

This will be a pivotal point in this year's scab epidemic. We will soon be nearing the end of predicted primary ascospore discharge, but lesions from our first infection period Apr 17 are expected to be appearing this week. So where control was good for the previous infection periods, we won't have too much to go till we can begin to focus on summer disease control, but where earlier control was inadequate, this infection period will be the source of continued headaches throughout May.

Yesterday was one of those unusual exceptions where there wasn't a forecast for rain early in the day, even with the Weather Channel's hourly predictions while it was raining! Today's SkyBit hourly report for our AREC for yesterday does not show leaf wetness until 4 PM but we had leaf wetness with showers at 10 AM, and leaves have probably remained wet since then.

I usually try to focus on our Winchester situation, where we have a better record of weather conditions, but it appears that those of you east of the Blue Ridge and farther south had similar conditions and substantially more rain than we did yesterday. Hopefully apples a little more advanced, with fruit at thinning time will be less susceptible to quince rust, but any trees with some blossoms in recent petal fall should be considered susceptible, and scatterred quince rust-infected fruits can hang on the tree and become a nuisance as a rot inoculum source as shown in the what-is-it blog below:  http://treefruitdisease.blogspot.com/2013/04/what-is-it-april-4-meeting-reminder.html

Fire blight outlook

As indicated by the Maryblyt graphic below, the fire blight outlook for this week remains similar to what was predicted last Friday: With warmer temperatures, risk will increase with EIP (epiphytic inoculum potential) by mid-week to the point where infection could occur with wetting Friday, May 10. Risk will remain at an infective level at least through May 12. Most trees in the area still have susceptible bloom, and some is likely to remain into the coming weekend.

The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic are from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.

Fire blight risk remains low. Have a great Shenandoah Apple Blossom Festival weekend!

This is Shenandoah Apple Blossom Festival weekend in Winchester, so for those of you in the area who want one more assurance that there will not be a fire blight problem until later next week here it is: As shown in the Maryblyt graphic below, predicted risk remains low through May 6, then becomes high as the temperatures rise and wetting occurs by May 8, with infection indicated on late bloom May 10-12. So, for now, go ahead and have a great BLOOM (or whatever)! The Maryblyt forecast will be updated May 6.

Apple scab/rust infection period Apr 29-30, and fire blight update

We recorded our third apple scab infection period Apr 29-30, with 18 hr wetting at 50-56°. This was also a likely quince rust and cedar-apple rust infection period.

FIRE BLIGHT: Below is the updated graphic from the Maryblyt 7 program. Based on 9-day predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows the fire blight infection risk history through Apr 30 and predicted risk through May 9. The next four days, May 1-4, illustrate that the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) can gradually increase although the average daily temperature is lower than the of 60°F required minumum for infection to occur. This is because the EIP is based on estimated degree hours that the temperature is above 65°F throughout the day. Based on predicted temperatures, the EIP will approach the required threshold of 100 later next week (97% on May 9). Most cultivars are still near full bloom and some susceptible bloom will likely be present and should be protected if those conditions occur. The CBS column at the right in the graphic indicates progression toward the appearance of canker blight symptoms on new growth, due to extension of overwintering cankers from last year, with canker margin symptoms (CMS) by May 8. Canker advancement will not be prevented by a chemical treatment and the presence of symptoms will indicate a build-up of inoculum which could become a factor in the event of a trauma blight situation due to hail injury, etc.

CAUTION: As usual, be aware that risks can change quickly with unpredicted warmer temperatures and wetting. In high-risk situations, a protective streptomycin application is recommended ahead of predicted infection. The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic come from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.

Apple scab infection period April 28-29

At our AREC we recorded split wetting periods totalling 18 hours starting at 54° at 11 AM Apr 28 and continuing at 50° throughout the duration of the wetting events. With expected high ascospore maturity and discharge, this is our most serious scab infection period this year. Hopefully, most blocks have received adequate fungicide protection up to this point and, with only 0.2 inch rain, should have been well protected through this event. Although the temperatures were a bit cooler than the optimum for the rust fungi, the blossoms are still very susceptible to quince rust and a follow-up application of an SI fungicide is advised where disease pressure is high and protection may have been lacking.

The outlook for fire blight infection over the next week remains low to moderate unless temperatures turn out to be significantly warmer than currently predicted. For the longer term, these cool temperatures will probably prolong the bloom period and our greatest threat of blossom blight may come on late bloom.

Since April 11 we have seen 13 dry weather, powdery mildew days, and we can expect secondary infection to be flourishing on new growth soon.

Continued reduced risk of fire blight in the Winchester area

FIRE BLIGHT: Above is an updated graphic from the Maryblyt 7 program. Based on predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows that fire blight infection risk on Apr 29 is high with wetting but infection is not predicted, even with wetting, because the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) is now well below 100. With most cultivars near full bloom and later cultivars with early bloom open, this is a prediction for trees with first bloom open April 16, 2013. The temperature and rainfall data are current through Friday morning, Apr 26. Predicted weather conditions are shown for Apr 26-30. The components of fire blight risk are indicated in the columns labeled B (blossoms open), H (degree hours for epiphytic bacterial populations), W (wetting by rain or dew), and T (average daily temperature 60 F or above). Based on predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows that fire blight infection risk on Apr 29 is high but infection is not predicted, even with wetting, because the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) remains well below 100. For infection to be predicted, wetting must occur after the EIP reaches 100 or higher.  Cooler predicted temperatures result in continued low EIP and reduced risk through May 3 (not shown). The CBS column at the right in the graphic indicates progression toward the appearance of canker blight symptoms on new growth, due to extension of overwintering cankers from last year, 86% of the degree hour requirement by May 3. Canker advancement cannot be prevented by chemical treatment at this time and the presence of symptoms will indicate a build-up of inoculum which could become a factor in the event of a trauma blight situation due to hail injury, etc.


CAUTION: Be aware that risk can change quickly with unpredicted warmer temperatures and wetting. In high-risk situations, a protective streptomycin application is recommended ahead of predicted infection. This graphic will be updated April 29. The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic come from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.

Fire blight and powdery mildew/rusty spot update

FIRE BLIGHT: Below is a cropped graphic from the Maryblyt 7 program. Based on predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows that fire blight infection risk on Apr 24 is high with wetting but infection is not predicted, even with recent wetting, because the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) is now below 100. With most cultivars approaching full bloom open and later bloom opening over the next several days, this is a prediction for trees with first bloom open April 16, 2013. The temperature and rainfall data are current through Wednesday afternoon, Apr 24, with showers predicted this evening. Predicted weather conditions are shown for April 25-29. The components of fire blight risk are indicated in the columns labeled B (blossoms open), H (degree hours for epiphytic bacterial populations), W (wetting by rain or dew), and T (average daily temperature 60 F or above). Based on predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows that fire blight infection risk on Apr 24 is high with wetting but infection is not predicted, even with wetting, because the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) is now well below 100. For infection to be predicted, wetting must occur after the EIP reaches 100 or higher. In high-risk situations, a protective streptomycin application is recommended ahead of predicted infection. Cooler predicted temperatures lead to a reduced risk Apr 25-29 and into next week (not shown). The CBS column at the right in the graphic indicates progression toward the appearance of canker blight symptoms on new growth, due to extension of overwintering cankers from last year, 80% of the degree hour requirement by Apr 29. Canker advancement cannot be prevented by chemical treatment at this time and the presence of symptoms will indicate a build-up of inoculum which could become a factor in the event of a trauma blight situation due to hail injury, etc.
CAUTION: Be aware that predicted risk can change quickly with unanticipated warmer temperatures and wetting. This graphic will be updated April 26. The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic come from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.

Powdery mildew remains the most active among other apple diseases. Mildew infects during dry weather at temperatures above 53F. Since overwintering mildew spores were first observed on Apr 11, there have been nine day favorable to mildew infection. Rusty spot on peach is caused by the apple powdery mildew fungus, and with this much mildew activity underway, expect increased pressure by rusty spot on susceptible peach cultivars. Protective applications of myclobutanil (Rally) from petal fall through the early cover sprays are suggested for management of rusty spot.

Fire blight and other disease concerns

CAUTION: Based on weather data for our AREC, the fire blight prediction for Friday, Apr 19, remains at the infective level shown in the graphic posted below on Apr 16. If the cooler temperatures prevail as predicted in the ten-day forecast, infection after today is not likely well into next week. Streptomycin, applied Apr 17-19, should effectively cover for this infection event.

On Wednesday, Apr 17, we recorded 12 hours of wetting with slow drying conditions at 56-62° F, conditions favorable for apple scab, quince rust and cedar-apple rust. Blossoms are now very susceptible to quince rust, and for blocks that were not adequately protected for this infection period, it would be prudent to include an SI fungicide with strong after-infection activity in the next fungicide application. 

Powdery mildew has been the most active apple disease so far this year. Mildew spores were observed on new growth from overwintering buds Apr 11, and we have had infection conditions seven of the nine days since then. As early as pink stage, blossoms are highly susceptible to infection which causes the fruit russeting shown below. For mildew-susceptible varieties, include a fungicide with mildew activity in each application from tight cluster stage through to a month after petal fall.

Powdery mildew russeting of fruit can occur as early as pink stage.

Fire blight alert for this week

CAUTION: The observations, conditions, and recommendations reported for Winchester, VA are provided as a guide to fire blight risk assessment only for the immediate area of the Virginia Tech AREC located six miles southwest of Winchester. Use of the information reported here for making orchard management decisions outside of that area is not our intent. Fruit producers outside of that area are encouraged to consult their state extension specialists for information similar to that provided here.

FIRE BLIGHT: Above is a cropped graphic from the Maryblyt 7 program. With early cultivars with bloom open, and more bloom opening over the next several days, here is a prediction for trees with first bloom open today, April 16, 2013. The temperature and rainfall data are current through this evening, April 16. Predicted weather conditions are shown for April 17-20. The components of fire blight risk are indicated in the columns labeled B (blossoms open), H (degree hours for epiphytic bacterial populations), W (wetting by rain or dew), and T (average daily temperature 60 F or above). Based on predicted temperatures and wetting, the risk column shows that fire blight infection will be possible on open bloom if wetting occurs Apr 18-19. For infection to be predicted, wetting must occur after the EIP (epiphytic infection potential) reaches 100 or higher. In high-risk situations, a protective streptomycin application is recommended ahead of predicted infection. Cooler predicted temperatures lead to a reduced risk Apr 20-25. If first bloom opened Apr 17, infection would still be possible on Apr 19, but if first bloom did not open until Apr 18, the EIP would remain below an infective level through the weekend.

This graphic will be updated April 18, or sooner if significant change warrants it. The weather conditions used in the predictive part of this graphic come from the Weather Channel for Winchester, supplemented by site-specific data from SkyBit Inc.

Apple disease status

Today advanced Idared fruit buds were at open cluster stage, and some blossoms are likely to open in the next couple days. The picture below was taken during the wetting period April 12.

Apple scab, cedar-apple rust, and quince rust spores were mature Apr 12, but 12 hours' wetting was probably not quite long enough at 51-55° to cause significant infection by these diseases.

However, powdery mildew spores were also available under favorable dry weather infection conditions Thursday, Apr 11.

Oh yes, speaking of rust conditions, the mystery disease below was caused by one of the rusts, most likely quince rust. This resulted in small mummified fruits and a potential carry-over of bitter rot inoculum for fruit infection this year.

What is it? April 4 meeting reminder

This problem may not be what you think it is...

This is a reminder that our first In-Depth Meeting of the new season will be held at Alson H. Smith Jr. AREC, 595 Laurel Grove Road, Winchester, VA, starting at 7 PM Thursday, April 4. Following horticulture and entomology updates by Drs. Greg Peck and Chris Bergh, we will address this and other pathology questions and issues.

Here's another close-up example:

Scab spores and green tip

Apple scab ascospores were discharged at our AREC with showers starting yesterday morning. The earliest buds on Gala showed some green-tip, but 17 hours of wetting at 39-47° F was not enough for an infection period. It was a “two-minute warning” of sorts. Hopefully now, gradual bud advancement over the next week will allow some opportunity for application of protectant fungicides before another scab infection event. Preventive disease management is the best way to offset development of resistance to the more highly selective fungicides.

Idared apple blossoms - then and now

 On March 24 last year we were concerned about apple scab and rust infection and a threat of fire blight where blossoms had opened March 23. Today there's not much susceptible tissue out there and I'm ok with that! That white stuff on the nearly dormant buds isn't cotton. Can we say climate un-change?


But remember that the apple scab spores are just waiting their turn...

   

March 24, 2012

 

March 25, 2013



Prelude to a new season

The past several days we have seen a blanket of white in the orchards. This is great for holding back the rush of an early season and gets plenty of moisture into the ground. But this moisture on thawed ground will probably bring early scab ascospore maturity, so is it is important to be ready with protective fungicides. After application at green-tip stage, a copper spray will give about a week's protection against scab and also provides a deterrent to the buildup of fire blight bacteria before bloom.